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Updated Growth Scenarios Report shows draft 2035 Comprehensive Plan helps Portland make significant progress toward a prosperous, healthy, equitable and resilient city

Through extensive transportation and land use modeling, the report shows how the new land use plan will increase Portlanders’ access to complete neighborhoods, transit and parks while reducing per capita vehicle miles traveled.

In the next 20 years, Portland will be home to approximately 123,000 more households and 142,000 new jobs.

Portland’s existing zoning and Proposed Comprehensive Plan provide more than enough room to accommodate future residential growth. This means we can choose the best places to focus or prioritize new housing. The recently released Growth Scenarios Report evaluates several patterns — or scenarios — against a set of criteria for new residential development.

The Scenarios Report evaluates both the expected distribution of future growth throughout Portland and the benefits from infrastructure investments identified in the Citywide Systems Plan (CSP) and Transportation System Plan (TSP).

The Growth Scenarios Report shows that Portland’s long-range plan for growth, coupled with transportation and infrastructure investments, makes significant progress toward the Portland Plan’s aspirational goals for 2035.

Read the revised Growth Scenarios Report.

By focusing growth in vibrant centers and along bustling corridors, the draft 2035 Comprehensive Plan helps us reduce carbon emissions, gets people closer to jobs, provides more affordable housing, and creates demand for stores and restaurants. It also makes better use of our existing infrastructure like streets, transit systems, parks and pipes.

Impact Analysis

As a supporting document for Portland’s Comprehensive Plan Update, the Growth Scenarios Report serves as an impact analysis of future development in Portland through the year 2035. Many of the criteria for the analysis come from the Portland Plan Measures of Success adopted in 2012.

Through extensive transportation and land use modeling, the report tells us how the Proposed Comprehensive Plan will perform against measurements for transit and active transportation, complete neighborhoods, access to parks and family-wage jobs, and carbon emissions.

Specifically, the report shows that the Proposed Comprehensive Plan:

  • Increases households in complete neighborhoods by 10 percent (to 73 percent) by 2035.
  • Reduces transportation-related carbon emissions by 60 percent from 2010 to 2035.
  • Cuts per capita vehicle miles traveled (VMT) by 27 percent by 2035. It also reduces the share of commuter trips in single-occupant vehicles as well as carbon emissions.
  • Increases the share of commute trips made by transit, bicycling, walking and carpools from 39 percent in 2010 to 65 percent by 2035.
  • Increases the amount of households with frequent transit access by 15 percent.
  • Increases by 16 percent Portlanders’ access to low-stress bicycle networks, particularly in East and North Portland.
  • Increases the number of households with convenient access to family-wage jobs.

Portland can accommodate future household growth and do it in ways that help meet our goals. But providing enough affordable housing, especially for the lowest income households, will continue to be a significant challenge.

The City needs to pursue a coordinated growth and investment strategy to meet its objectives. The growth strategy supports development in high-performing centers and corridors that already have relatively complete infrastructure systems. The investment strategy fills gaps in historically underserved areas to reduce disparities and increase equity.

Against a high bar, the Growth Scenarios Report demonstrates that the land use and investment decisions in the Proposed Comprehensive Plan gets Portland 75 to 80 percent toward our 2035 goals.

Public hearing at Planning and Sustainability Commission

The public is invited to submit testimony to the Planning and Sustainability Commission on the Growth Scenarios Report in writing or in person at a public hearing on Tuesday, June 23, 2015. Please check the PSC calendar one week prior to the hearing to confirm details. 

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Portland is Growing Film Festival draws big crowd at Kennedy School

Portlanders can now watch more than a dozen movies by local filmmakers about growth and development in Portland

Portland is Growing film festivalOn Wednesday, April 29, 2015, the Bureau of Planning and Sustainability, in partnership with the Oregon Chapter of the American Planning Association, hosted the Portland Is Growing Film Festival at McMenamins Kennedy School. A standing-room-only crowd of about 130 people filled the gymnasium, including members of United Neighborhoods for Reform, the Albina neighborhood, and the local filmmaking community.

The event featured films covering a variety of perspectives on growth and development in the city. Through their lenses, filmmakers shared stories about demolition and infill, gentrification and displacement, coal trains, the Memorial Coliseum, bicycling, urban design and more.

Some of the highlights included Ruth Ann Barrett, who created her short video using her iPhone, encouraging the audience to “flex their civic engagement arm, not just their consumer arm.” Rick Potestio’s presentation about focusing growth around parks or “commons” met with some vocal resistance from the audience. Karina Adams’ plea for bird-friendly design was graphically portrayed in the movie she made as a student at Portland State University. And even a 35-year-old Douglas fir tree made compelling viewing as the audience watched it being systematically de-limbed and cut down.

Two films stood out as poignant reminders of how far we’ve come but how much more we need to do to address displacement and gentrification. Future Portland by journalist Ifanyi Bell and Kathleen Holt of Oregon Humanities features slow moving shots of Portland interspersed between interviews with several prominent African Americans living in Portland, who talk about the loss of community and connection when whole swaths of people are displaced. And Richard Wilhelm and Sue Arbuthnot’s digest of their full-length feature film Imagining Home about how Columbia Villa became New Columbia was a touching close to the evening.

If you missed the event or would like to rewatch the videos, visit the film festival page. Then enjoy the work of local filmmakers and hear different stories of Portland’s past, present and future.

REMINDER: Portland is Growing: A Festival of Local Films is this Wednesday, April 29 at the Kennedy School Gymnasium

Join us for an evening of “cinematic discussion” of how Portland is growing. Event starts at 6:30 p.m. with light refreshments; movies begin at 7.

Portland is growing in all directions. Come hear different perspectives on growth through the eyes of local filmmakers. Arrive early to chat with friends and colleagues, then watch the movies and participate in a brief question and answer period with the filmmakers. This event is co-hosted by the Bureau of Planning and Sustainability and the Oregon Chapter of the American Planning Association.

Portland is Growing: A Festival of Local Films

Wednesday, April 29, 2015, 6:30 – 9 p.m.
McMenamins Kennedy School Gymnasium
5736 NE 33rd Avenue

This event is an opportunity for community members to share their ideas about how Portland is growing. The videos cover such topics as density near parks, bird-friendly buildings, demolition and infill, gentrification and displacement, bicycling in Portland, the development of New Columbia, growing in Centers and Corridors, and more.

For more information, please call 503-823-7700.