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Economic Opportunities Analysis

The Economic Opportunities Analysis (EOA) estimates the city's long-term supply and demand for employment land.

The latest (not final) version of the EOA is the March 2016 Revised Draft, which includes revisions being considered by City Council to the Recommended Draft of the Planning and Sustainability Commission. What changed in the EOA between the August 2015 and March 2016 drafts is described in this memo.

The EOA demonstrates that the policies, infrastructure investments and land use map changes contained in the Proposed Draft of the Comprehensive Plan will support economic growth and provide adequate development capacity to meet Portland’s 20-year jobs forecast, consistent with Goal 9.

Changes Between the August 2015 and March 2016 EOA Drafts

Memo describes the differences and changes between the two most recent EOA forecasts.

Economic Opportunities Analysis Section 1: Trends, Opportunities and Market Factors

Revised Draft, March 2016: This report documents existing conditions and current trends in employment that will serve as a basis for the future employment forecast.

Economic Opportunities Analysis Section 1, Appendix C: Portland Harbor Analysis

This report, prepared by ECONorthwest, addresses key questions about land in the Portland Harbor area.

Economic Opportunities Analysis Section 2/3: Supply and Demand

Revised Draft, March 2016: This report presents the 2010-2035 employment forecast and resulting demand for employment land as well as the inventory of buildable employment land.

Economic Opportunities Analysis Section 4: Community Choices

Revised Draft, March 2016: This report evaluates the likely development capacity of community choices proposed in the updated Comprehensive Plan map, policies, and investments to support and meet employment land needs.

Buildable Land Inventory (BLI) Capacity Map

This map shows the underutilized land areas and their estimated development-constraint levels that are identified in the EOA as likely growth capacity within the proposed Comprehensive Plan to accommodate forecast employment.

Employment BLI Map Changes

This map shows changes in land designated as “underutilized” between the previously adopted BLI in 2012 and the currently proposed 2015 BLI.